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Is the 2026 Monsoon Really 'Below Normal'?

Is the 2026 Monsoon Really
"Below Normal"?



Decoding Risks for Kharif 2026

The 2026 monsoon outlook has sparked intense debate across India's agricultural ecosystem. While forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a "below normal" season, private weather agencies and global climate models present a more nuanced—and at times conflicting—picture. For farmers, agribusinesses, and policymakers, the real question is not just about rainfall quantity, but its timing, distribution, and variability.

This webinar brings together leading experts to unpack a data-driven and risk-oriented assessment of the upcoming monsoon season and its implications for Kharif crops. Moving beyond headline forecasts, the session will analyse regional rainfall disparities, evolving climate signals such as El Niño, and their cascading effects on sowing decisions, crop yields, and input planning.

With Kharif crops like rice, pulses, and oilseeds highly sensitive to early-season rainfall patterns, even minor deviations can significantly influence acreage, productivity, and market dynamics. The discussion will also explore how farmers and agri-stakeholders can respond proactively—through crop diversification, adaptive agronomy, and risk mitigation strategies.

In an increasingly climate-uncertain environment, understanding the intersection of weather forecasts, ground realities, and market signals is critical. This session aims to equip stakeholders with actionable insights to navigate the 2026 season with greater clarity and preparedness.

🔍 What's on the table?

  • Comparative analysis of IMD forecasts vs private weather models
  • Regional rainfall variability and high-risk zones
  • Impact on sowing windows and crop choices
  • Implications for rice, pulses, and oilseed production
  • Climate risks including El Niño and extreme weather events
  • Market outlook: prices, supply risks, and agri-input demand

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Clear understanding of 2026 monsoon forecast reliability
  • Region-wise risk assessment for Kharif cropping
  • Insights to optimise sowing strategies and crop planning
  • Early signals on production and yield outlook
  • Market intelligence on price and supply trends
  • Practical strategies for climate risk mitigation and resilience

Expert Speakers

S. Soundararadjane

S. Soundararadjane

Chief Executive Officer,
HyFarm

Dr. Renuka Diwan

Dr. Renuka Diwan

Co-Founder & Chief Executive Officer,
BioPrime® AgriSolutions Pvt. Ltd.

Satyender Singh

Satyender Singh

Chief Executive Officer - Seeds,
Crystal Crop Protection Ltd.

Satyender Singh

Dr. R.G. Agarwal

Chairman Emeritus
Dhanuka Agritech Limited.

Suchetana Choudhury

Suchetana Choudhury

Deputy Executive Editor,
Agrospectrum Asia & India

Session Moderator

In an increasingly climate-uncertain environment, preparedness is critical.

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